Friday, April 1, 2011

India or Sri Lanka?

With the finals under a day away I thought I would write something about a preview of the game. In my opinion there are two ways that this game will end (obvious), because it depends on 2 players. Muttiah Muralidaran, and Sachin Tendulkar.
Why? Because if either Tendulkar, or Murali have a big game, their team will win. By big game I mean, a century or a 3-wicket haul.
Because of this, I am taking the likely Sachin to score this century in essence guiding India to win the tournament.

With both teams from Asia, it is an extremely interesting finals. There will be a few surprises, a decision to start a batter or two might result in a loss of 20 runs. Choosing the optimal time to take the Batting Powerplay is key. It needs to be taken at the 35th-37th over, when the relatively new ball is in play, that will allow for an increase of 20-40 runs. It should be an interesting game.
If India bats first they score 285-7. Sri Lanka gets 278-9. India wins.
If Sri Lanka bats First they score 225-10 while India responds with 227-4. India wins.
Sri Lanka will have a much higher chance of winning chasing, so they need to defer the choice to bat if they win the toss.

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